Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.136242 0.162775 0.192663 0.228757 0.271101 0.319134 0.377681
2025-04-20 0.099731 0.134320 0.177718 0.235885 0.311498 0.406114 0.533099
2025-04-27 0.084248 0.123966 0.177897 0.255850 0.364898 0.511151 0.721105
2025-05-04 0.071145 0.112755 0.173100 0.265939 0.403848 0.599505 0.896010
2025-05-11 0.058428 0.099013 0.161451 0.262993 0.422036 0.659063 1.035583
2025-05-18 0.047327 0.085356 0.147151 0.252905 0.426751 0.697658 1.146651
2025-05-25 0.038279 0.073223 0.133000 0.240293 0.424761 0.724286 1.240406
2025-06-01 0.033779 0.068095 0.129536 0.244550 0.450220 0.796356 1.413267
2025-06-08 0.028287 0.060100 0.119707 0.236030 0.452259 0.829175 1.523441
2025-06-15 0.025511 0.056815 0.117894 0.241582 0.479503 0.907234 1.718146
2025-06-22 0.022707 0.052953 0.114348 0.243215 0.499421 0.973895 1.898593
2025-06-29 0.019706 0.048124 0.108127 0.238639 0.506717 1.017873 2.041375
2025-07-06 0.017047 0.043719 0.102429 0.234995 0.516742 1.070530 2.210949
2025-07-13 0.015617 0.041911 0.102059 0.242631 0.550868 1.173732 2.489512
2025-07-20 0.015246 0.042592 0.107299 0.263157 0.614353 1.341309 2.911271
2025-07-27 0.014207 0.041384 0.107994 0.273518 0.657109 1.470978 3.268807
2025-08-03 0.012509 0.038102 0.103223 0.270493 0.669791 1.539285 3.506056
2025-08-10 0.010670 0.034043 0.095860 0.260136 0.664363 1.568211 3.662527
2025-08-17 0.008984 0.030042 0.087951 0.247187 0.651069 1.578274 3.778669
2025-08-24 0.008253 0.028722 0.086902 0.251557 0.679957 1.685393 4.119514
2025-08-31 0.007112 0.025875 0.081194 0.242809 0.675234 1.714947 4.287500
2025-09-07 0.006612 0.024983 0.080851 0.248510 0.707796 1.834703 4.674269
2025-09-14 0.006032 0.023697 0.079151 0.250187 0.730074 1.931965 5.016784